Will the Knesset swear in a Gadi Eisenkot-led government on or before 20 December 2026?
40%probability
as of 14 Nov 2026, 00:06 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
YES if the Knesset votes confidence in, and swears in, a government headed by Gadi Eisenkot (Yashar) on or before 20 December 2026 — including a government formed after a presidential extension of his mandate. NO if by 20 December 2026 Eisenkot has returned the mandate, been replaced by another mandate holder, or no Eisenkot-led government has been sworn in.
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 40% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 40%—
Probability updated.
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
No branches — a single binary question.
Target
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