---
title: "Will the RBI Monetary Policy Committee raise the repo rate at its 2–4 December 2026 meeting? — DecisionGateway"
description: "Will the RBI Monetary Policy Committee raise the repo rate at its 2–4 December 2026 meeting? Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence."
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**Open**

/ [Event](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1d3c5-58b8-79c9-931b-24b1ba3281e4)/closes 5 Dec 2026 13 Nov 2026, 12:05 UTC

# **Will the RBI Monetary Policy Committee raise the repo rate at its 2–4 December 2026 meeting?**

**88%**probability

as of 13 Nov 2026, 12:05 UTC ·no change

[**Open event **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1d3c5-58b8-79c9-931b-24b1ba3281e4) [**API record **](https://dgw-api.tmarket.io/v1/forecasts/01a1d4cc-4071-7323-8e6c-d863f4648db1)

**Resolves YES if**

Yes if the RBI Monetary Policy Committee raises the policy repo rate from 5.50% at its 2–4 December 2026 meeting (decision announced 4 December 2026), by any amount. No if the repo rate is left unchanged at 5.50% or cut.

## **Probability history**

1 recorded point

now 88% · no change

## **What changed**

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

1. 13 Nov 2026, 12:05 UTC**88%**—

   Probability updated.

## **Branches**

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

## **Target**

Event

01a1d3c5-58b8-79c9-931b-24b1ba3281e4

[**Open event **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1d3c5-58b8-79c9-931b-24b1ba3281e4)

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