---
title: "Will the ECB Governing Council raise its deposit facility rate at the 16–17 December 2026 monetary policy meeting? — DecisionGateway"
description: "Will the ECB Governing Council raise its deposit facility rate at the 16–17 December 2026 monetary policy meeting? Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence."
canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1d4cb-cb94-794d-af39-5d825d3699f2"
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  "og:title": "Will the ECB Governing Council raise its deposit facility rate at the 16–17 December 2026 monetary policy meeting? — DecisionGateway"
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> Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt)

**Open**

/ [Event](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1cc20-9ccb-75bd-87c3-a1184c253d76)/closes 18 Dec 2026 13 Nov 2026, 12:04 UTC

# **Will the ECB Governing Council raise its deposit facility rate at the 16–17 December 2026 monetary policy meeting?**

**93%**probability

as of 13 Nov 2026, 12:04 UTC ·no change

[**Open event **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1cc20-9ccb-75bd-87c3-a1184c253d76) [**API record **](https://dgw-api.tmarket.io/v1/forecasts/01a1d4cb-cb94-794d-af39-5d825d3699f2)

**Resolves YES if**

Yes if the ECB Governing Council announces at its 16–17 December 2026 monetary policy meeting that it is raising the deposit facility rate from 2.50% (i.e. by any amount, most likely 25bp to 2.75%). No if the deposit rate is left unchanged at 2.50% or cut.

## **Probability history**

1 recorded point

now 93% · no change

## **What changed**

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

1. 13 Nov 2026, 12:04 UTC**93%**—

   Probability updated.

## **Branches**

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

## **Target**

Event

01a1cc20-9ccb-75bd-87c3-a1184c253d76

[**Open event **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1cc20-9ccb-75bd-87c3-a1184c253d76)

[Back to forecasts](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts) 0 branches

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