Will the ECB Governing Council raise its deposit facility rate at the 16–17 December 2026 monetary policy meeting?

Resolves YES if

Yes if the ECB Governing Council announces at its 16–17 December 2026 monetary policy meeting that it is raising the deposit facility rate from 2.50% (i.e. by any amount, most likely 25bp to 2.75%). No if the deposit rate is left unchanged at 2.50% or cut.