---
title: "Will Anthropic price its IPO on 18 November 2026 but not begin Nasdaq trading by 20 November 2026? — DecisionGateway"
description: "Will Anthropic price its IPO on 18 November 2026 but not begin Nasdaq trading by 20 November 2026? Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence."
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> Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt)

**Open**

/ [Event](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1cc27-f116-7a5e-b695-e7f110d87b60)/closes 20 Nov 2026 13 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC

# **Will Anthropic price its IPO on 18 November 2026 but not begin Nasdaq trading by 20 November 2026?**

**7%**probability

as of 13 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC ·-3 pts

[**Open event **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1cc27-f116-7a5e-b695-e7f110d87b60) [**API record **](https://dgw-api.tmarket.io/v1/forecasts/01a1d4cb-993a-72ce-9547-807151cea361)

**Resolves YES if**

Yes if Anthropic sets a final offer price on 18 November 2026 (or later) but no ANT shares trade on Nasdaq by 23:59:59Z on 20 November 2026. No if trading begins by then, or if no pricing occurs at all.

Branch of [Will Anthropic's shares begin trading on Nasdaq (ticker ANT) on or before 20 November 2026, as scheduled for 19 November?](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1d4cb-83e4-7c5c-afb4-1b78ebaf437f)(Open)

**Model track record** Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 [ record](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts#track)

## **Probability history**

2 recorded points

now 7% · -3 pts

## **What changed**

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

1. 13 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC**7%**−3 pp

   mirror of root revision: 6x oversubscribed book and reconfirmed 18/19 Nov timetable lower the priced-but-not-trading branch

   evidence 01a1d613
2. 13 Nov 2026, 12:04 UTC**10%**—

   Probability updated.

## **Branches**

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

mutually exclusive

- this page closes 20 Nov 2026 exclusive Open [**Will Anthropic price its IPO on 18 November 2026 but not begin Nasdaq trading by 20 November 2026?**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1d4cb-993a-72ce-9547-807151cea361)

  Yes if Anthropic sets a final offer price on 18 November 2026 (or later) but no ANT shares trade on Nasdaq by 23:59:59Z on 20 November 2026. No if trading begins by then, or if no pricing occurs at all.**7%** probability

## **Target**

Event

01a1cc27-f116-7a5e-b695-e7f110d87b60

[**Open event **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1cc27-f116-7a5e-b695-e7f110d87b60)

## **Discussion**

[Back to forecasts](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts) 0 branches

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