Will the IMF Executive Board approve the DR Congo ECF fourth review and RSF third review on or before 31 December 2026?
80%probability
as of 13 Nov 2026, 00:06 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
Yes if the IMF Executive Board completes consideration and approves the fourth review under the DRC's Extended Credit Facility and the third review under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (including the requested higher access / relaxed 2026–2027 deficit ceilings) on or before 31 December 2026, as evidenced by an IMF press release. A Board meeting that is scheduled but not held, or a decision deferred to 2027, makes this NO.
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 80% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 80%—
Probability updated.
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
No branches — a single binary question.
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