Will the European Parliament adopt the relaxed 2035 car/van CO2 targets (87.5% for cars) as its negotiating mandate at the 14–17 December 2026 plenary session?
80%probability
as of 12 Nov 2026, 00:09 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
Yes if the European Parliament, at its 14–17 December 2026 Strasbourg part-session, votes to adopt the ENVI committee's report on the revised CO2 emission performance standards for new passenger cars and light commercial vehicles (the 87.5% 2035 fleet-wide reduction target with a 7.5% low-carbon-steel credit) as Parliament's position / mandate for negotiations with the Council. No if the vote is not held in that part-session, is rejected, or is postponed to a later session.
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 80% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 12 Nov 2026, 00:09 UTC
Probability updated.
80%
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