Will the Bank of Russia leave its key rate unchanged at 14.00% at the 18 December 2026 board meeting?
78%probability
as of 11 Nov 2026, 18:12 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
YES if the Bank of Russia's board announcement following its 18 December 2026 meeting states the key rate is unchanged at 14.00% per annum. NO if the board sets any other level (cut to 13.75% or lower, or a hike to 14.25%/14.5% or higher) at that meeting.
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 78% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 11 Nov 2026, 18:12 UTC
Probability updated.
78%
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
No branches — a single binary question.
Target
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