Open
/Decision/closes 31 Dec 2026 10 Nov 2026, 12:10 UTC

Will Russia's government sign and publish the 2027 decree setting a 0% quota for foreign workers in taxi and chauffeur-rental services in the eight named regions on or before 31 December 2026?

85%probability

as of 10 Nov 2026, 12:10 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

Yes if, on or before 2026-12-31, the Government of the Russian Federation (Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin) signs and publishes a postanovlenie "Об установлении на 2027 год допустимой доли иностранных работников..." that sets the permissible share of foreign workers at 0% for the taxi / rental-of-passenger-cars-with-driver activity (ОКВЭД 49.32) in the eight regions named in the Mintrud draft (Mordovia, Chuvashia, Tatarstan, Udmurtia, Sverdlovsk, Orenburg, Ulyanovsk oblasts, Jewish Autonomous Oblast). Publication on publication.pravo.gov.ru or in the official legal databases counts. Approval by the Russian Trilateral Commission, a Mintrud draft, or a statement that the document is "awaiting signature" does NOT count.

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 85% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  • 10 Nov 2026, 12:10 UTC

    Probability updated.

    85%

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Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

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Decision

01a1bfd1-4c18-7a42-a6ac-681f59510453

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