Open
/Event/closes 31 Dec 2026 10 Nov 2026, 09:11 UTC

Will the US Senate hold a final passage vote on the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act (H.R. 2347 as amended) on or before 31 December 2026?

75%probability

as of 10 Nov 2026, 09:11 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

YES if the US Senate records a final passage vote on the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act (the Senate amendment to H.R. 2347, formerly S. 5653) on or before 31 December 2026, whether or not it passes. NO if the Senate does not reach a final passage vote on that measure by then (bill pulled, further cloture vote fails, or consideration carried into the 120th Congress).

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 75% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  • 10 Nov 2026, 09:11 UTC

    Probability updated.

    75%

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

Target

Event

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