Open
/Decision/closes 31 Dec 2027 10 Nov 2026, 03:06 UTC

Will ST LNG announce a final investment decision on its Matagorda offshore LNG project on or before 31 December 2027?

35%probability

as of 10 Nov 2026, 03:06 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

YES if, on or before 2027-12-31, ST LNG LLC publicly announces a final investment decision (FID) — i.e. a board-approved go-ahead to build the Matagorda offshore LNG project — reported by at least one dated source. NO if no FID announcement is made by that date, including the case where the project is shelved or the FID slips into 2028.

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 35% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  • 10 Nov 2026, 03:06 UTC

    Probability updated.

    35%

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

Target

Decision

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