Will MPC Oceanic Group complete its acquisition of a 41% stake in Marlow Navigation on or before 30 June 2027?
as of 10 Nov 2026, 00:02 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
YES if MPC Oceanic Group AG (Castor Maritime subsidiary) announces completion/closing of its acquisition of a 41% stake in Marlow Navigation Co. Ltd. — i.e. the share transfer and capital increase against contributions in kind are executed — on or before 30 June 2027, per a company ad-hoc release, Castor Maritime press release, or Marlow statement. NO if no completion is announced by that date.
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 85% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 85%—
Probability updated.
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- closes 30 Jun 2027 exclusive OpenWill the MPC Oceanic–Marlow Navigation 41% acquisition be terminated or abandoned before completion on or before 30 June 2027?
YES if MPC Oceanic Group AG or Castor Maritime announces that the Marlow Navigation 41% acquisition agreement has been terminated, abandoned, or lapsed (including failure to obtain regulatory/antitrust approval) on or before 30 June 2027. NO if the deal completes or no such termination is announced by that date.
15%probability
- closes 30 Jun 2027 exclusive OpenWill the MPC Oceanic–Marlow Navigation 41% acquisition be terminated or abandoned before completion on or before 30 June 2027?
YES if MPC Oceanic Group AG or Castor Maritime announces that the Marlow Navigation 41% acquisition agreement has been terminated, abandoned, or lapsed (including failure to obtain regulatory/antitrust approval) on or before 30 June 2027. NO if the deal completes or no such termination is announced by that date.
15%probability