--- title: "Will the Ak-Zhorgo demolition begin between 1 March 2027 and 31 May 2027 — i.e. the owners' requested delay is granted, but only until spring? — DecisionGateway" description: "Will the Ak-Zhorgo demolition begin between 1 March 2027 and 31 May 2027 — i.e. the owners' requested delay is granted, but only until spring? Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence." canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1c131-d818-7b41-ab68-aaea9f3859e0" meta: "og:description": "Will the Ak-Zhorgo demolition begin between 1 March 2027 and 31 May 2027 — i.e. the owners' requested delay is granted, but only until spring? Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence." "og:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black" "og:image:height": "1024" "og:image:width": "1024" "og:title": "Will the Ak-Zhorgo demolition begin between 1 March 2027 and 31 May 2027 — i.e. the owners' requested delay is granted, but only until spring? — DecisionGateway" "twitter:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" --- > Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt) **Open** / [Event](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1bfc1-4e5d-7396-9416-d03b9b5544de)/closes 31 May 2027 09 Nov 2026, 16:43 UTC # **Will the Ak-Zhorgo demolition begin between 1 March 2027 and 31 May 2027 — i.e. the owners' requested delay is granted, but only until spring?** **30%**probability as of 09 Nov 2026, 16:43 UTC ·no change [**Open event **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1bfc1-4e5d-7396-9416-d03b9b5544de) [**API record **](https://dgw-api.tmarket.io/v1/forecasts/01a1c131-d818-7b41-ab68-aaea9f3859e0) **Resolves YES if** Resolves YES if a dated report (Kaktus.media, 24.kg, Kabar, AKIpress, or the Bishkek mayor's office) shows municipal demolition machinery physically on the Ak-Zhorgo site in Bishkek's 12th microdistrict at some point after 2027-03-01T00:00:00+06:00 and on or before 2027-05-31T23:59:59+06:00. Resolves NO if no demolition has begun by 2027-05-31, or if the site is formally cancelled/redeveloped without demolition. Silence alone does not resolve the question. Branch of [Will the Bishkek mayor's office formally postpone the Ak-Zhorgo demolition so that no demolition occurs before 1 March 2027?](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1c130-6df7-7cbf-a7b4-4787eb8dc642)(Open) ## **Probability history** 1 recorded point now 30% · no change ## **What changed** Real moves and re-assessments, newest first. 1. 09 Nov 2026, 16:43 UTC**30%**— Probability updated. ## **Branches** Alternatives with their own deadline and condition. - closes 28 Feb 2027 Open [**Will the Bishkek mayor's office formally postpone the Ak-Zhorgo demolition so that no demolition occurs before 1 March 2027?**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1c130-6df7-7cbf-a7b4-4787eb8dc642) Resolves YES if, on or before 2027-03-01T00:00:00+06:00, a dated report or official statement shows the Ak-Zhorgo demolition was postponed (e.g. a mayoralty decision, a presidential/parliamentary instruction, or a court injunction) and no demolition of the cooperative's garages had begun by 2027-03-01. Resolves NO if demolition begins before 2027-03-01, or if no postponement is documented and no demolition occurs (that is silence, not a postponement).**35%** probability - this page closes 31 May 2027 Open [**Will the Ak-Zhorgo demolition begin between 1 March 2027 and 31 May 2027 — i.e. the owners' requested delay is granted, but only until spring?**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1c131-d818-7b41-ab68-aaea9f3859e0) Resolves YES if a dated report (Kaktus.media, 24.kg, Kabar, AKIpress, or the Bishkek mayor's office) shows municipal demolition machinery physically on the Ak-Zhorgo site in Bishkek's 12th microdistrict at some point after 2027-03-01T00:00:00+06:00 and on or before 2027-05-31T23:59:59+06:00. Resolves NO if no demolition has begun by 2027-05-31, or if the site is formally cancelled/redeveloped without demolition. Silence alone does not resolve the question.**30%** probability ## **Target** Event 01a1bfc1-4e5d-7396-9416-d03b9b5544de [**Open event **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1bfc1-4e5d-7396-9416-d03b9b5544de) [Back to forecasts](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts) 0 branches ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website","@type":"WebSite","description":"Decisions, events and falsifiable forecasts from 3,000+ Telegram channels — every claim cited. Read free.","name":"DecisionGateway","url":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/","publisher":{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#identity"}},{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1c131-d818-7b41-ab68-aaea9f3859e0#webpage","@type":"WebPage","description":"Will the Ak-Zhorgo demolition begin between 1 March 2027 and 31 May 2027 — i.e. the owners' requested delay is granted, but only until spring? 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