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statement

# **According to NBU estimates, because of Russian attacks and the blockade of ports, real GDP in 2026 will be 1.9 percentage points lower than it could have been without these shocks, and inflation 0.7 percentage points higher.**

A statement by НБУ. Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway.

> *За оцінками НБУ, через ці атаки та блокаду портів реальний ВВП у 2026 році буде на 1,9 в. п. нижчим, ніж міг би бути без цих шоків, а інфляція – на 0,7 в. п. вищою*

nbu\_uaPublished 2026-11-06 [ Read source](https://t.me/nbu_ua/4288)

## **Discussion**

## **Related claims**

[**Russia's GDP is expected to grow by about 0.7% at the end of 2026.**ЕАБР · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d778-d7b7-73a8-b6b4-504155a154ed) [**The NBU's proactive stance created room for more flexible response to current negative trends in the economy related to the consequences of Russian attacks.**Вони · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1e111-a2d6-7bc0-8b90-fc3d4771701d) [**In Russia, GDP grew 0.6% y/y in January–September 2026, retail trade rose 5.0% y/y, and industrial output grew only 0.2% y/y as a 1.0% y/y rise in manufacturing was partly offset by a 1.3% y/y decline in mining.**ЕАБР · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d783-562f-7cbd-9bbe-ce019c9711d8) [**EABR expects Belarus GDP growth of about 2.1% for 2026.**ЕАБР · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d787-54a2-708e-97f1-0af324a997a5) [**Belarus GDP grew 2.0% y/y in January–September 2026, staying at the January–August level.**ЕАБР · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d787-5496-776d-bada-06508bde4589) [**Real GDP will contract by 0.4% this year, return to growth of 0.4% in 2027 and accelerate to 2.2% in 2028.**Інфляційний звіт · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1e114-36c3-7956-9a7b-17dacfd3b446)

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