---
title: "Real GDP will contract by 0.4% this year, return to growth of 0.4% in 2027 and accelerate to 2.2%… — Інфляційний звіт — DecisionGateway"
description: "prediction by Інфляційний звіт, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation."
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prediction

# **Real GDP will contract by 0.4% this year, return to growth of 0.4% in 2027 and accelerate to 2.2% in 2028.**

A prediction by Інфляційний звіт. Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway.

> *реальний ВВП цього року скоротиться на 0,4%. У 2027 році економіка повернеться до зростання на 0,4%, а у 2028 році воно пришвидшиться до 2,2%*

nbu\_uaPublished 2026-11-06 [ Read source](https://t.me/nbu_ua/4288)

## **Discussion**

## **Related claims**

[**Russia's GDP is expected to grow by about 0.7% at the end of 2026.**ЕАБР · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d778-d7b7-73a8-b6b4-504155a154ed) [**The Conference Board forecasts US GDP growth of 2.2% in 2026 and 2.0% in 2027.**Conference Board · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d21a-9822-7e5e-9bad-8c8622f06dde) [**Real wages will grow by 11.4% in 2026 and by 4–5% annually in 2027–2028, while the labour shortage will persist.**Інфляційний звіт · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1e114-36d2-72af-8f94-40137b531683) [**The economy is stronger than expected: H1 GDP growth was revised from 1.8% to 2.4%, Q3 consumer spending likely grew above 3%, business investment at double-digit rates, unemployment is lower than a year ago and jobless claims near multi-year lows.**Ворш · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d211-2a5e-7d6f-b688-43f02780897a) [**According to NBU estimates, because of Russian attacks and the blockade of ports, real GDP in 2026 will be 1.9 percentage points lower than it could have been without these shocks, and inflation 0.7 percentage points higher.**НБУ · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1e114-372a-7a1b-81b4-f080bfe632fd) [**The world economy in 2040 will look as shown, with global GDP rising from $124 trillion in 2026 to $227 trillion, almost doubling over 14 years.**Cebr · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1ce64-231d-728b-9353-95c9fe063c0f)

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