--- title: "The export estimate is lower than the official USDA forecast of 30.5 million tonnes but slightly… — UkrAgroConsult — DecisionGateway" description: "statement by UkrAgroConsult, recorded 2026-11-09 — verbatim quote and source citation." canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d36f-d20f-7f29-8326-6c6ca5e1eb3b" meta: "og:description": "statement by UkrAgroConsult, recorded 2026-11-09 — verbatim quote and source citation." "og:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black" "og:image:height": "1024" "og:image:width": "1024" "og:title": "The export estimate is lower than the official USDA forecast of 30.5 million tonnes but slightly… — UkrAgroConsult — DecisionGateway" "twitter:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" --- > Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt) statementSaid on 2026-11-09 # **The export estimate is lower than the official USDA forecast of 30.5 million tonnes but slightly exceeds the forecast of the Canadian Ministry of Agriculture of 28.75 million tonnes.** A statement by [**UkrAgroConsult**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d369-3a2f-77b8-8157-a3cf2f296410), said on 2026-11-09. Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway. > *Оцінка експорту нижча за офіційний прогноз USDA у 30,5 млн тонн, але дещо перевищує прогноз канадського Мінсільгоспу — 28,75 млн тонн.* ukragroconsultPublished 2026-11-09 [ Read source](https://t.me/ukragroconsult/8818) [**UkrAgroConsult dossier **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d369-3a2f-77b8-8157-a3cf2f296410) ## **Related claims** [**Canada's wheat exports in 2026/27 MY may decrease by 2.8% to 28.95 million tonnes, despite high shipment rates at the start of the season.**аташе USDA в Оттаві · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d36f-d1f3-7619-a05e-03c8ae4b7a3e) [**The export growth exceeded forecasts of 33.5%.**be\_the\_firsttt · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1c821-5675-7dac-bb5c-1ad6ab5e5be8) [**For 2026 it projects exporting between 820,000 and 930,000 tonnes.**axtronok · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cdf9-5e8f-7659-930e-fc0b688730fa) [**By the end of the season Ukraine could potentially export another 2.5–3 million tonnes of barley, but prospects depend on external demand and logistics costs.**UkrAgroConsult · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d373-4dad-7a64-ad17-983e57b00c81) [**The main reason for the export decline will be a nearly 11% drop in grain production to 36.12 million tonnes, against a record 40.56 million tonnes last year.**аташе USDA в Оттаві · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d36f-d1fe-7616-b7f0-11429416fdd8) [**Corn exports fell 70% to 282.4 thousand tonnes, wheat fell 33.1% to 990.2 thousand tonnes, and barley fell 79.7% to 43.9 thousand tonnes.**UkrAgroConsult · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d36e-1e89-72bf-b034-c54d1b21e001) ## **More claims by UkrAgroConsult** [**Ukraine's share of EU imports fell from 9.42% to 3.82%, though the country retained third place among the largest suppliers.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d383-e8de-7e49-bb98-8f043d2903f1) [**In the first 17 weeks of the season, Ukrainian soybean supplies fell 60.5% to 144.52 thousand tonnes versus 365.61 thousand tonnes a year earlier.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d383-e8d5-79cb-aeb5-644ebd2d0b75) [**Total soybean imports to the EU over this period decreased only 2.4% to 3.79 million tonnes.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d383-e8ca-7c25-9484-d6776fc716e9) [**Imports from the US fell 59.8% to 577.18 thousand tonnes, and the share of American suppliers dropped to 15.24%.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d383-e8c0-7f21-a12c-afd6d4d88013) [**Brazil increased its share of total EU soybean imports to 78.39% at the start of the 2026/27 marketing year.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d383-e8a7-7008-b9a0-55f6ece31891) [All claims by UkrAgroConsult](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims?claimant_id=01a1d369-3a2f-77b8-8157-a3cf2f296410) [All claims](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims) ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website","@type":"WebSite","description":"Decisions, events and falsifiable forecasts from 3,000+ Telegram channels — every claim cited. 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