---
title: "A reduction in wheat production among other large exporters by 13% in 2026 will be an additional… — UkrAgroConsult — DecisionGateway"
description: "prediction by UkrAgroConsult, recorded 2026-11-08 — verbatim quote and source citation."
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predictionSaid on 2026-11-08

# **A reduction in wheat production among other large exporters by 13% in 2026 will be an additional factor supporting prices and will limit the ability to compensate for the deficit of Black Sea supplies.**

A prediction by [**UkrAgroConsult**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d369-3a2f-77b8-8157-a3cf2f296410), said on 2026-11-08. Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway.

> *Додатковим чинником підтримки цін стане скорочення виробництва пшениці серед інших великих експортерів на 13% у 2026 році, що обмежить можливості компенсувати дефіцит чорноморських поставок.*

ukragroconsultPublished 2026-11-08 [ Read source](https://t.me/ukragroconsult/8806)

[**UkrAgroConsult dossier **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d369-3a2f-77b8-8157-a3cf2f296410)

## **Related claims**

[**World wheat prices in 2027 could rise by 18–24% if restrictions on grain exports through the Black Sea ports of Ukraine and russia persist.**UkrAgroConsult · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d368-ed27-7149-9fbc-a2295095ce93) [**The reduction in purchases is linked to rising world prices, a stronger dollar and logistical disruptions in the Black Sea region.**UkrAgroConsult · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d36a-ddf1-7b6b-9518-d1fb70211328) [**Prices are supported by rising world quotations and limited supply of fuel shipped from Russia and Kazakhstan.**argus\_price\_agency · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cc0a-62de-7857-9ab4-cfd3591dfba2) [**According to economist Dennis Voznesenski of Commonwealth Bank of Australia, if shipping resumes at the start of next year, wheat quotations may remain approximately at the current level.**Денніса Вознесенскі · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d368-ed30-7302-94f2-338440e9d8b6) [**Deterioration in the quality of part of the harvest, including a larger share of third-class spring wheat CWRS and feed grades, will have an additional impact on exports.**аташе USDA в Оттаві · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d36f-d21a-7465-bd02-a4680e5787e4) [**The market has reassessed the prospects for a recovery in Russian wheat exports.**UkrAgroConsult · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d369-3aa4-713c-b61e-4b06a7e27661)

## **More claims by UkrAgroConsult**

[**Ukraine's share of EU imports fell from 9.42% to 3.82%, though the country retained third place among the largest suppliers.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d383-e8de-7e49-bb98-8f043d2903f1) [**In the first 17 weeks of the season, Ukrainian soybean supplies fell 60.5% to 144.52 thousand tonnes versus 365.61 thousand tonnes a year earlier.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d383-e8d5-79cb-aeb5-644ebd2d0b75) [**Total soybean imports to the EU over this period decreased only 2.4% to 3.79 million tonnes.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d383-e8ca-7c25-9484-d6776fc716e9) [**Imports from the US fell 59.8% to 577.18 thousand tonnes, and the share of American suppliers dropped to 15.24%.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d383-e8c0-7f21-a12c-afd6d4d88013) [**Brazil increased its share of total EU soybean imports to 78.39% at the start of the 2026/27 marketing year.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d383-e8a7-7008-b9a0-55f6ece31891)

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