--- title: "The outflow into \"cash\" remains elevated for now but is gradually normalizing. — truecon — DecisionGateway" description: "statement by truecon, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation." canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10b-104c-788b-972e-63526bf1528b" meta: "og:description": "statement by truecon, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation." "og:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black" "og:image:height": "1024" "og:image:width": "1024" "og:title": "The outflow into \"cash\" remains elevated for now but is gradually normalizing. — truecon — DecisionGateway" "twitter:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" --- > Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt) statement # **The outflow into "cash" remains elevated for now but is gradually normalizing.** A statement by [**truecon**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5). Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway. > *Отток в "кэш" пока остается повышенным, но постепенно нормализуется.* trueconPublished 2026-11-07 [ Read source](https://t.me/truecon/5987) [**truecon dossier **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5) ## **Related claims** [**The outflow into cash over the month was about ₽0.2 trillion, and the slowdown in the outflow continues, though this partly reflects seasonal dynamics since demand for cash always declines in autumn.**truecon · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d107-cdde-77f2-bb69-5abf5c03dbc6) [**In the May version (1-МР), the same 5 million over 30 days was a reason to look closer only if cash made up at least 70% of account inflows and at least 70% of that left via transfers abroad within about 10 days; the bank reviewed this after the fact.**ЦБ · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1bbe5-2772-77ec-b1e0-0f8305c08964) [**According to clients, remaining funds are issued only in cash at the teller, cannot be transferred to another bank, term deposits (plazo fijo) are not returned early, and incoming SWIFT transfers are returned to senders.**clients · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1bbb5-8fa1-746d-bb9d-5a6d55f51464) [**A mechanism has been defined for returning excess funds received according to an agreed schedule.**bu911 · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cc93-6ca8-7e6b-afdc-bf0ae10c5871) [**Cash loan issuance is stable at ₽510.4 billion (-1.2% m/m and +50% y/y); the growth rate has stabilized around \~₽0.5 trillion per month.**truecon · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10e-5490-78df-af8d-f8d9c2a81c50) [**Seasonally adjusted, cash loan indicators point to gradual growth in lending, but without much acceleration.**truecon · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10e-54b6-762b-85c8-c3f6c407b811) ## **More claims by truecon** [**Inflation expectations declined slightly but remain high: 4.3% for one year and 3.4% for five years; overall, everything points to the Fed having to raise rates in December.**prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f58c-7104-b2d0-4d8a582a59ed) [**The financial conditions index is at extremely comfortable levels, the financial stress index likewise, and the key rate can hardly be characterized as tight.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f545-78cf-934b-b7b220b1f44d) [**Hourly wage growth accelerated slightly to 0.4% m/m and 3.1% y/y; weekly jobless claims were only 189 thousand, and the number of Americans on benefits was about 1.7 million — lows since 2023.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f503-7b3f-89a7-d682f7c833f7) [**The number of open vacancies rose to 7.5 million, and the ratio of vacancies to unemployed rose to 1.06.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f4cf-7cda-adff-6b49cd680964) [**The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, the labor force participation rate rose to 61.9%, and the employment-to-population ratio rose to 59.3% — all indicators improved by 0.1 percentage points over the month.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f4ab-7818-a96e-3418bbeeef2f) [All claims by truecon](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims?claimant_id=01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5) [All claims](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims) ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website","@type":"WebSite","description":"Decisions, events and falsifiable forecasts from 3,000+ Telegram channels — every claim cited. 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