prediction
Given the budget advances at the start of the year, there is every chance of fitting into the Bank of Russia's forecast, though closer to its upper bound of 11-12% for December.
A prediction by truecon. Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway.
Учитывая бюджетные авансы начала года, есть все шансы вписаться в прогноз Банка России, хотя и ближе к его верхней границе 11-12% на декабрь.
Related claims
By the end of the year, the Central Bank's forecast for the growth of cash in circulation will most likely come true: plus 3.7 trillion rubles, to 23.1 trillion rubles.thebell_io · predictionThe Bank of Russia raised the projected path of the key rate for 2027–2028; the average key rate in 2027 is expected in the range of 12.5–13.5% per annum.Банк России · predictionIn November the dynamics promise to be similar, with strong fluctuations in cash in December amid salary payments and budget expenditures.truecon · predictionThe budget apparently closed October better than expectations again, judging by liquidity flows: despite insignificant borrowing (₽0.13 trillion), deposits in banks grew by ₽0.66 trillion, and another ₽0.2 trillion went to budget accounts at the Central Bank.truecon · statementThe budget's contribution to demand this year and the next two years turned out higher than the Central Bank expected.Эльвира Набиуллина · statementInflation expectations declined slightly but remain high: 4.3% for one year and 3.4% for five years; overall, everything points to the Fed having to raise rates in December.truecon · prediction
More claims by truecon
Inflation expectations declined slightly but remain high: 4.3% for one year and 3.4% for five years; overall, everything points to the Fed having to raise rates in December.predictionThe financial conditions index is at extremely comfortable levels, the financial stress index likewise, and the key rate can hardly be characterized as tight.statementHourly wage growth accelerated slightly to 0.4% m/m and 3.1% y/y; weekly jobless claims were only 189 thousand, and the number of Americans on benefits was about 1.7 million — lows since 2023.statementThe number of open vacancies rose to 7.5 million, and the ratio of vacancies to unemployed rose to 1.06.statementThe unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, the labor force participation rate rose to 61.9%, and the employment-to-population ratio rose to 59.3% — all indicators improved by 0.1 percentage points over the month.statement
All claims by truecon